Israel Palestine Infos
February 12, 2011
UNTIL THE very last moment, the Israeli leadership tried to keep Hosni Mubarak in power.
It was hopeless. Even the
In the end it settled for second best: a pro-Western military dictatorship. But will this really be the outcome?
WHEN CONFRONTED with a new situation, Obama’s first response is generally admirable.
Then, it seems, second thoughts set in. And third. And fourth. The end result is a 180 degree turn.
When the masses started to
How could one not admire them? They were non-violent, their demands were reasonable, their actions were spontaneous, they obviously expressed the feelings of the vast majority of the people. Without any organization to speak of, without leadership, they said and did all the right things.
Such a sight is rare in history. No sansculottes screaming for blood, no cold-minded Bolsheviks lurking in the shadows, no Ayatollahs dictating their actions in the name of God.
So Obama loved it. He did not hide his feelings. He practically called on the dictator to give up and go away.
If Obama had stayed this
course, the result would have been historic. From being the most hated power in
the Arab world, the
I believe that Obama sensed this. His first instincts are always right. In such a situation, a real leader – that rarest of all animals – stands out.
BUT THEN came the second
thoughts. Small people started to work on him. Politicians, generals, “security
experts”, diplomats, pundits, lobbyists, business leaders, all the “experienced”
people – experienced in routine affairs – started to weigh in. And, of course,
the hugely powerful
“Are you crazy?” - they admonished him. To forsake a dictator who happens to be our son-of-a-bitch? To tell all our client dictators around the world that we shall forsake them in their hour of need?
How naïve can you get? Democracy in an Arab country? Don’t make us laugh! We know the Arabs! You show them democracy on a platter and they would not know it from baked beans! They always need a dictator to keep them in shape! Especially these Egyptians! Ask the British!
The whole thing is really a
conspiracy of the Muslim Brotherhood. Look them up on Google! They are the only
alternative. It’s either Mubarak or them. They are the Egyptian Taliban, worse,
the Egyptian al-Qaeda. Help the well-meaning democrats to overthrow the regime,
and before you know it you will have a second
Faced with all these experts, Obama caved in. Again.
Let’s start with
The British reaction was swift and decisive. Winston Churchill convinced President Dwight Eisenhower that Mossadegh’s course would lead to Communism. In 1953 the CIA engineered a coup, Mossadegh was arrested and kept in isolation until his death 14 years later, the British got the oil back. The Shah, who had fled, was put back on his throne again. His reign of terror lasted until the Khomeini revolution, 26 years later.
Without this American
NETANYAHU’S WARNINGS of the inevitable takeover of Egypt by the fanatical Muslim Brotherhood, if democratic elections were held, sound logical, but they are similarly based on willful ignorance.
The Brotherhood was founded
80 years ago, long before Obama and Netanyahu were born. They have settled down
and matured, with a strong moderate wing, much like the moderate, democratic
Islamic party that is governing
(This, by the way, would
have happened in
The majority of Egyptians
are religious, but their Islam is far removed from the radical kind. There are
no indications that the bulk of the people, represented by the youngsters in
SO WHAT did Obama do? His moves were pathetic, to say the least.
After turning against
Mubarak, he suddenly opined that he must stay in power, in order to carry out
democratic reforms. As his representative he sent to
So the detested dictator was supposed to institute democracy, enact a new liberal constitution, work together with the very people he had thrown into prison and systematically tortured.
Mubarak’s pathetic speech on
Thursday was the straw that broke the back of the Egyptian camel. It showed that
he had lost contact with reality or, worse, is mentally deranged. But even an
unbalanced dictator would not have made such an atrocious speech had he not
This time, the communique said nothing at all. It just showed on live TV that they were there – all the leading generals, minus Mubarak and his stooge, Omar Suleiman.
Now they have assumed power. Quietly, without bloodshed. For the second time within 60 years.
IT IS worthwhile recalling
the first time. After a period of turmoil against the British occupiers, a group
of young officers, veterans of the 1948 Israeli-Arab war, hiding behind an
elderly general, carried out a coup. The despised ruler, King Farouk, was
literally sent packing. He put to sea on his yacht from
The people were jubilant.
They loved the army and the coup. But it was a revolution from above. No crowds
The army tried first to
govern through civilian politicians. They soon lost patience with that. A
charismatic young lieutenant-colonel, Gamal Abd-al-Nasser, emerged as the
leader, instituted wide-ranging reforms, restored the honor of
Will the army follow this example, or will it do what the Turkish army has done several times: assume power and turn it over to an elected civilian government?
Much will depend on Obama. Will he support the move to democracy, as his inclination will undoubtedly suggest, or will he listen to the “experts”, Israelis included, who will urge him to rely on a military dictatorship, as American presidents have done for so long?
But the chance of the United States of America, and of Barack Obama personally, leading the world by shining statesmanship at a historic moment 19 days ago has been wasted. The beautiful words have evaporated.
Now, I am afraid, this
mistake will be repeated. The tsunami is being viewed in